Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.205292 1.392838 1.599337 1.843498 2.124254 2.436946 2.811629
2025-04-20 0.935322 1.177954 1.468087 1.840328 2.305091 2.866165 3.595082
2025-04-27 0.773050 1.049552 1.404848 1.894274 2.550609 3.400191 4.583789
2025-05-04 0.644185 0.935501 1.334715 1.920688 2.758153 3.911530 5.621161
2025-05-11 0.540173 0.833817 1.260351 1.923411 2.927053 4.388603 6.679216
2025-05-18 0.444660 0.725947 1.156945 1.863110 2.989598 4.715696 7.561877
2025-05-25 0.362425 0.623191 1.042963 1.764940 2.973729 4.914712 8.268151
2025-06-01 0.313517 0.565539 0.990129 1.753789 3.090526 5.331239 9.371872
2025-06-08 0.269403 0.508347 0.928482 1.716504 3.154578 5.664043 10.374033
2025-06-15 0.252188 0.496105 0.942262 1.812142 3.461772 6.448939 12.265707
2025-06-22 0.228963 0.468708 0.924084 1.845357 3.657560 7.056705 13.911344
2025-06-29 0.203015 0.431790 0.882339 1.826715 3.750607 7.482816 15.264972
2025-07-06 0.171149 0.378844 0.803608 1.727426 3.679347 7.600811 16.066549
2025-07-13 0.158233 0.363741 0.799300 1.780224 3.925361 8.379507 18.314851
2025-07-20 0.149544 0.356494 0.810400 1.867461 4.256648 9.376735 21.160630
2025-07-27 0.138524 0.342142 0.803917 1.914962 4.508088 10.238448 23.833906
2025-08-03 0.126487 0.323403 0.784751 1.930581 4.689677 10.971284 26.320773
2025-08-10 0.111584 0.295189 0.739361 1.877544 4.703607 11.328772 27.993213
2025-08-17 0.096305 0.263426 0.680614 1.782863 4.603054 11.406210 29.008831
2025-08-24 0.087517 0.247119 0.657604 1.774113 4.713260 11.998108 31.358373
2025-08-31 0.078417 0.228452 0.625807 1.737869 4.748157 12.410023 33.312883
2025-09-07 0.076224 0.228632 0.643443 1.835600 5.147583 13.787874 37.940866
2025-09-14 0.071477 0.220715 0.638099 1.869796 5.381159 14.768973 41.653884